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BARN TALK
The Unfiltered Voice of Rural America
Weekly Newsletter  ·  Issue #006  ·  May 6, 2026

Hey folks, The 2026 Farm Bill passed the House this week for the first time in years. Cash cattle are running at levels most producers haven't seen in a long time. Corn is knocking on the door of $5, wheat is pushing toward $7, and we sat down with a NASCAR Cup driver who will tell you to your face he's a watermelon farmer first. Busy week at the barn.

This Week
The 2026 Farm Bill clears the House in a 224-200 vote
Cash cattle averaging $9-$14 per hundredweight higher across the country
Corn at $4.80, soybeans at $12.03, wheat closing in on $7
Sawyer's Spotlight: Ross Chastain, NASCAR's Melon Man
Market update, four things that caught our eye, and the word of the week
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Main Story  

THE 2026 FARM BILL CLEARS THE HOUSE. NOW COMES THE HARD PART

Golden wheat field at sunset

The House of Representatives voted 224 to 200 on April 30 to pass the Farm, Food, and National Security Act of 2026, pushing the first new farm bill in years through the lower chamber. After more than two years of extensions and stalled negotiations, lawmakers got a five-year agricultural policy package through the House with real bipartisan support. Fourteen Democrats voted yes, the highest minority party vote for a farm bill since 2008.

WHAT'S IN THE BILL

The bill extends farm safety net programs through fiscal year 2031, strengthens trade promotion efforts, improves livestock protections, and reauthorizes the Next Generation Farmer Act, a provision aimed at making it easier for young operators to get a real foothold in farming. The National Cattlemen's Beef Association called it a win for cattle country. On the crop side, commodity program improvements are designed to give producers more certainty heading into planning seasons.

WHY THIS ISN'T DONE YET

Passing the House is the first lap, not the finish line. The Senate still has to take up its own version, reconcile the differences, and get both chambers to agree. Historically, that's where farm bills get stalled or stripped down, and this one will face the same gauntlet. Some farm groups have already said the bill does nothing to address high input costs or surging food prices for struggling family farmers. It is a start. Whether it survives the Senate intact is a different question entirely. (Source: AgWeb, April 30, 2026)

From the Barn

A farm bill isn't law until the Senate signs off, and the Senate has killed more farm bills than most people remember. There are good things in this version: safety net improvements, export programs, livestock protections. But I'm not celebrating until it clears the full chamber. We've been running on extensions for too long. Agriculture deserves real policy, not another two-year delay every time Washington can't get its act together.

Hot Topic  

CASH CATTLE ARE RUNNING. IF YOU HELD ON, YOU'RE FINALLY CASHING IN

The cash cattle market put up serious numbers this week. Southern cattle averaged $9 per hundredweight higher than the prior week's trade, and Northern dressed cattle came in as much as $14 per hundredweight higher. For producers who are actually selling cattle right now, those are not small numbers. The June futures contract is now the lead month after April went off the board at $258.47, and the cash market is running strong enough to keep the bulls in charge.

The driving force is a story that has been building for two years. The U.S. cow herd has been in contraction through multiple cycles of drought and high feed costs. Producers liquidated. The rebuild takes time - longer than most people expect. When supply tightens and demand stays steady, the math eventually shows up at the sale barn and the packing house. Cattle receipts are projected to grow $5.2 billion this year as prices continue rising.

BY THE NUMBERS THIS WEEK
Southern cash cattle averaged $9/cwt higher vs. the prior week's trade
Northern dressed cattle trade ran up to $14/cwt higher on the week
April live futures settled at $258.47 before rolling; June now leads at $253.00
WHERE THIS GOES FROM HERE

Rebuilding a cow herd after a down cycle takes years, not months. The tight supply picture is not going away quickly. If you're positioned to sell right now, the market is as favorable as it's been in recent memory. If you're holding and trying to rebuild numbers, the discipline you need is to resist selling into strength when the long play is restoring the operation. Both strategies make sense depending on where you sit. The key is knowing which game you're actually playing. (Sources: DTN Progressive Farmer; USDA ERS Cattle Outlook, May 2026)

From the Barn

The guys who held their cattle through the lean years and didn't dump everything during the drought are getting paid right now. That kind of patience costs you sleep. It costs you cash flow. And it costs you a lot of questions from people who thought you were making a mistake. The market doesn't lie. Tight supply and steady demand always gets there eventually. Those guys earned this one.

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Market Update  
Tork
Tork's Market Update
What the numbers mean for you

This Week's Numbers

Prices as of market close  ·  May 2, 2026  ·  Courtesy of katsgrain.com
Corn (Jul '26)
$4.80 /bu
▲ $0.05/bu on the week
 
Soybeans (Jul '26)
$12.03 /bu
▲ $0.13/bu on the week
Chicago Wheat (Jul '26)
$6.38 /bu
▲ $0.18/bu on the week
 
Live Cattle (Jun '26)
$253.00 /cwt
▲ $2.00/cwt on the week
Lean Hogs (Jun '26)
$101.28 /cwt
▼ $1.25/cwt on the week
 
Crude Oil (Jun '26)
$101.94 /bbl
▼ $3.00/bbl on the week
Tork's Picks
Bitcoin
$78,500 USD
▲ $3,200 on the week
 
Tesla (TSLA)
$390.82 /share
▲ $17.28/share on the week

This isn't financial advice. I'm just a farmer with an opinion.

Tork's Take

Corn and beans both up, wheat on a run, and cattle flying. On paper it looks like a strong week. The part I keep coming back to is crude oil still sitting above $100 a barrel, which means diesel at the pump isn't getting cheaper anytime soon. Running 5 gallons an acre through harvest season adds up fast, and that gap doesn't show up on the futures board. Tesla had a good week too, up over four percent. Bitcoin holding steady. The commodity strength looks real. Just watch your input costs as closely as you watch the board. One works against the other every single day.

Sawyer's Spotlight  
Sawyer
Sawyer's Spotlight
The younger generation's take, straight from the barn

Every once in a while somebody comes through the barn with a story that doesn't fit a box. Ross Chastain is one of those people. He drives the No. 1 Chevy for Trackhouse Racing in the NASCAR Cup Series. He's also an eighth-generation watermelon farmer from south Florida. And he'll tell you those two things are not in conflict, because farming is not a job you leave - it's who you are.

The Chastain family has been growing watermelons for eight generations. Ross's grandfather moved from South Georgia to south Florida in the 1950s, and the family tree goes all the way back to a guy named Pierre Chastain who came over from France in 1700. When you grow up inside that kind of legacy, wanting to be a farmer isn't a choice you make at some point in your life. Growing up, Ross followed his dad Ralph through the sandy watermelon fields - literally stepping into his boot prints, jumping to close the gap between a kid's stride and a grown man's. He was following in his dad's footsteps before he even knew what that phrase meant.

"Speed solves all my problems on the racetrack. Yield solves all my problems at the farm, too."

He started racing locally at 12 years old, crashing more than he won, learning over two years how to stop hitting the wall. His dad was honest with him from the beginning: the cost of getting to NASCAR was beyond what a watermelon farm could fund. They found out what it actually cost to run at the truck series level, looked at the numbers, and understood they weren't in that league. So they set a budget, bought a few races, and Ross outperformed his equipment enough every weekend to keep going. After three years of pulling from the farm and the family's relationships in ag, he drew a hard line. He stopped taking money from the operation entirely. He was either going to make it on his own terms or not at all.

It took until 2018 to get his real break - a three-race tryout with a competitive team. He won. Everything went upward from there. Ross describes both worlds using almost the same language: in racing, you pay your way in and work until you get to the other side of the cash register. On the farm, yield is the answer to every problem. Two completely different industries, two completely different lives - and somehow the same lesson running through both of them.

If you've got a story about following your family into farming - or deciding to go a different direction and what that cost you - hit reply. We read every one.

What We're Chewing On  

4 Things That Caught Our Eye This Week

01 USDA and the Export-Import Bank Just Teamed Up to Sell More American Grain Overseas On April 29, the USDA and Export-Import Bank announced a new partnership that combines their export financing tools to push more American agricultural products into global markets, including emerging markets that were previously too risky for most lenders. Corn exports are already running 29% above last year and dairy exports are up 15%. If Washington can actually execute on the export side while domestic demand holds, you could catch a rare tailwind from policy for once.
02 Diesel Just Hit $5.35 a Gallon and Nobody in the News Is Talking About It The national average for diesel reached $5.35 per gallon the week of April 27, up from $3.51 a year ago. That is a 52% increase in 12 months. If you're running 2 to 6 gallons of diesel per acre through a full crop year, that difference is not a rounding error. While commodity prices make headlines, fuel costs are quietly one of the biggest reasons net farm income stays under pressure even when the board looks strong. No one in Washington is cutting you a check for that gap.
03 Wheat Is Approaching $7 a Bushel on Weather Concerns and Global Supply Uncertainty July soft red winter wheat futures climbed to $6.38 per bushel this week, continuing a rally driven by weather threats in U.S. growing regions and ongoing uncertainty around global supply. Analysts have been putting $7 back in play for the first time in years if current conditions hold. If you've been grinding through thin wheat margins for the past few years, this rally is exactly what you've been waiting for. Whether favorable weather forecasts take the momentum away in the next two weeks is the open question.
04 The EPA Just Approved a New Rootstock That Could Be a Turning Point for Florida Citrus On April 28, the EPA approved CarriCea T1, a genetically engineered citrus rootstock designed to help Florida orange trees resist greening disease. The disease has collapsed Florida production from 242 million boxes in 2003 to a projected 12 million this season. There is still no cure, and virtually every grove in the state is infected. But this is the first new science growers can actually plant into. Whether it holds up at commercial scale is still years from being known.
Before You Go
Barn Talk Trivia
Think You Know Your Stuff?
This Week's Question

Which U.S. state produces the most bushels of corn per year, year in and year out?

A   Illinois   B   Nebraska
C   Iowa ✓   D   Indiana
Answer

C: Iowa. Iowa has been the nation's top corn-producing state for years, consistently harvesting over 2 billion bushels annually. Illinois puts up a fight most seasons, but Iowa holds the edge. The state's combination of deep topsoil, reliable rainfall, and long growing history makes it the country's corn capital.

Did You Know?

About 40% of the U.S. corn crop goes into ethanol production every year - not food or livestock feed. Another 36% goes to feed. Corn for human food, sweeteners, and starch accounts for roughly 10% of total use. The rest is exported. Most people outside agriculture assume American corn feeds the world. The majority of it actually fuels cars and feeds livestock, in that order.

Barn Talk Word of the Week
CONTANGO A market condition in commodity futures where deferred delivery contracts trade at higher prices than the nearby contract. Right now, December corn at $4.99 trades $0.19 above July at $4.80 - that's contango. It signals the market is willing to pay a premium for time and storage. If you're deciding whether to sell at harvest or carry grain into winter, contango tells you exactly what the market thinks your storage space is worth.

From the farm bill to the feed bill, it was a full week. Corn and beans are up, cattle are flying, and somewhere in south Florida a watermelon farmer is getting ready for planting season. Keep your input costs in front of you, watch what the Senate does with the Farm Bill, and don't let the optimism on the board make you forget what diesel costs this morning.

We'll see you in the barn.

Sawyer & Tork
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